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2026 tax year · current law

Roth conversion ACA subsidy calculator

See what the next dollar of Roth conversion really costs — federal tax, lost 0% capital gains, forfeited ACA subsidy and state tax — with the $62,600 subsidy cliff marked. Every formula is on the methodology page.

Up to $179,875.

Your last safe conversion

$24,600

$9,600 of headroom remains under 400% FPL.

Crossing 400% FPL forfeits $6,605/yr in premium tax credits.

Rate on the next dollar at $15,000

22.0%

Federal ordinary tax
12.0%
Forfeited ACA premium credit
10.0%

MAGI: $53,000 (338.7% FPL) · Marketplace, subsidized

What qualifies these figures

TX levies no state income tax, so a conversion costs nothing at the state level.

Silver cost-sharing tier

Standard Silver, 70%

No cost-sharing reduction at this income.

Standard Silver (70% AV) is the baseline cost-sharing tier.

The 4-part marginal rate stack: Why 12% can cost 300%+

Most financial tools evaluate Roth conversions solely against federal ordinary income tax brackets (10%, 12%, 22%). For early retirees purchasing health insurance on the ACA Health Insurance Marketplace, the true marginal tax rate is determined by four stacked interactions:

1. Federal ordinary income tax

10%, 12%, 22%, 24%+

The base tax applied to the converted tranche after the standard deduction.

2. Capital gains 0% bracket displacement

+15.0% shadow rate

Ordinary conversion income sits at the bottom of your tax stack, pushing long-term capital gains and qualified dividends out of the 0% preferential bracket into the 15% bracket.

3. Forfeited ACA Premium Tax Credit (PTC)

Taper phase + Full cliff drop

As MAGI increases, the share of income you are expected to pay toward the benchmark premium rises, from 2.10% to 9.96% under 2026 rules. Between 300% and 400% FPL each extra dollar costs about 10¢ of subsidy, and more where the percentage is still climbing. Above 400% FPL the rest of the subsidy disappears at once.

4. State and local income taxes

0% to 13.3%

States start from your AGI, so the federal standard deduction does not shield the conversion. Some states exempt IRA distributions, conversions included; this calculator models those it can verify.

2026 Federal Poverty Level (FPL) income thresholds

Under statutory rules in IRC §36B, ACA subsidy eligibility and Cost-Sharing Reduction tiers are keyed to household size and Federal Poverty Guidelines:

Household Size100% FPL (Floor)150% FPL (CSR 94%)200% FPL (CSR 87%)400% FPL (Contiguous)400% (AK / HI)
1 Person$15,650$23,475$31,300$62,600$78,200 / $71,960
2 People$21,150$31,725$42,300$84,600$105,720 / $97,280
3 People$26,650$39,975$53,300$106,600$133,240 / $122,600
4 People$32,150$48,225$64,300$128,600$160,760 / $147,920

*Coverage for 2026 uses the prior year's HHS poverty guidelines, published in 2025. Figures are for the 48 contiguous states and DC; HHS publishes separate, higher guidelines for Alaska and Hawaii.

Silver Cost-Sharing Reductions: The hidden deductible cliffs

The 400% FPL cliff is not the only threshold early retirees must navigate. If you purchase an ACA Silver plan, Cost-Sharing Reductions (CSR) lower deductibles and out-of-pocket costs, and they step down at three income thresholds. Exact deductibles vary by plan; the ranges below are typical, not guaranteed:

  • • ≤150% FPL (94% Actuarial Value): Plans typically have very low deductibles and copays, richer than a standard Platinum plan's 90% actuarial value.
  • • Above 150% to 200% FPL (87% Actuarial Value): Modest deductibles and low out-of-pocket maximums. Crossing 150% FPL moves you to higher deductibles and out-of-pocket limits.
  • • Above 200% to 250% FPL (73% Actuarial Value): Deductibles only a little below standard Silver. Crossing 200% FPL gives up most of the value of CSR.

Form 8962 reconciliation: no repayment cap from 2026

When you enroll in marketplace insurance, your subsidy is estimated based on projected income. Actual subsidies are reconciled on IRS Form 8962 at tax filing.

Every dollar is repaid: Until 2025, households below 400% FPL had a cap on how much excess advance credit they paid back. The One Big Beautiful Bill Act (§ 71305) repealed those caps for tax years after 2025. From 2026, if your income comes in higher than you projected, you repay the whole difference, at any income. If it ends the year above400% FPL, no credit is allowed and every advance dollar is repaid. That is why the playbook below says to convert late in the year, once your income is known.

Strategic playbook for ACA Roth conversions

1. Calibrate conversions in late December

Do not convert in January or execute automated monthly conversions. Wait until the final two weeks of December when all taxable interest, dividends, and capital gain distributions have posted to your accounts.

2. Leverage above-the-line MAGI deductions

Max out Health Savings Account (HSA) contributions. If you have 1099 or consulting income, utilize the IRC §162(l) self-employed health insurance deduction and Solo 401(k) contributions to suppress MAGI.

3. Spend non-taxable liquidity to control income

Fund living expenses from cash savings or Roth IRA contributions (which come out tax- and penalty-free at any time) instead of selling appreciated brokerage holdings, whose gains count toward MAGI. Municipal bond interest does not help here: tax-exempt interest is added back into MAGI for the premium tax credit.

Common questions

What is the ACA subsidy cliff for 2026?

The ACA subsidy cliff is the statutory cutoff at 400% of the federal poverty level where Premium Tax Credit (PTC) eligibility ends outright rather than tapering. For 2026, that threshold is $62,600 of Modified Adjusted Gross Income (MAGI) for a single individual, $84,600 for a couple, and $128,600 for a household of four in the 48 contiguous states. One dollar below the threshold you receive a credit; one dollar above it you receive $0 for the entire tax year. The cliff returned because the temporary American Rescue Plan / IRA subsidy enhancements expired on December 31, 2025.

How do you calculate MAGI for ACA health insurance subsidies?

Modified AGI for ACA premium tax credits starts from Adjusted Gross Income (AGI on Form 1040, Line 11) and adds back three specific items: (1) tax-exempt interest (Line 2a), (2) the non-taxable portion of Social Security benefits (Line 6a minus 6b), and (3) foreign earned income exclusions. The standard deduction does NOT reduce ACA MAGI. A Roth conversion enters through ordinary income and increases MAGI dollar for dollar. Long-term capital gains and qualified dividends count toward MAGI in full, even when taxed at 0% federally.

Does a Roth conversion count toward MAGI for ACA subsidies?

Yes, 100% of the taxable amount of a Roth conversion is included in MAGI. There are no exemptions or special tax treatments. Converting an extra $1,000 increases your ACA MAGI by $1,000, reducing your subsidy and potentially pushing your total household income over the 400% FPL subsidy cliff.

What is 400% of the federal poverty level in 2026?

For the 2026 coverage year in the contiguous 48 states, 400% FPL is $62,600 for a household of 1, $84,600 for a household of 2, $106,600 for a household of 3, $128,600 for a household of 4. In Alaska, 400% FPL is $78,200 for 1 person and $105,720 for 2 people. In Hawaii, it is $71,960 for 1 person and $97,280 for 2 people. Premium tax credit eligibility uses the prior year's (2025) HHS poverty guidelines.

Why is the effective marginal tax rate higher than my income tax bracket?

Because the federal tax bracket is only one of four costs triggered by a conversion. The four components are: (1) ordinary federal income tax, (2) long-term capital gains pushed out of the 0% bracket into the 15% bracket by conversion income stacking underneath them, (3) lost ACA Premium Tax Credits as MAGI increases, and (4) state income taxes. In the default scenario — a single filer aged 55 with $18,000 ordinary income and $20,000 qualified income — crossing the 400% FPL cliff forfeits $6,605 of annual healthcare subsidies instantly, producing an effective marginal tax rate exceeding 300% on the crossing increment.

What happens if I underestimate my income and cross 400% FPL?

When you file your federal return, Form 8962 reconciles the Advance Premium Tax Credit (APTC) paid to your insurer against the credit your actual year-end MAGI allows. From tax year 2026 there is no cap on paying back the difference: the One Big Beautiful Bill Act (§ 71305) repealed the § 36B(f)(2)(B) repayment limits. Any excess is repaid in full, at every income. If your MAGI ends the year above 400% FPL, no credit is allowed at all, so you repay every dollar of advance credit you received.

What are Silver Plan Cost-Sharing Reductions (CSR)?

Cost-Sharing Reductions (CSR) are federal subsidies available exclusively on Silver-tier ACA marketplace plans for households earning between 100% and 250% FPL. CSRs dramatically lower deductibles, copayments, and out-of-pocket maximums by boosting the plan’s Actuarial Value (AV): 94% AV (up to 150% FPL), 87% AV (above 150% to 200% FPL), and 73% AV (above 200% to 250% FPL). Converting income past 150% or 200% FPL can raise your deductible and out-of-pocket maximum without changing your premium.

Do long-term capital gains and qualified dividends affect ACA subsidies?

Yes. Long-term capital gains and qualified dividends are included in AGI and therefore count fully toward ACA MAGI. Even if your taxable capital gains fall within the 0% federal tax bracket, they still consume ACA subsidy headroom and can trigger the 400% FPL cliff.

Can HSA contributions or IRA deductions reduce ACA MAGI?

Yes. Above-the-line deductions (Form 1040 Schedule 1, Part II) directly reduce AGI and therefore reduce ACA MAGI. Contributions to a Health Savings Account (HSA), traditional deductible IRA, or solo 401(k), as well as the self-employed health insurance deduction (IRC §162(l)), lower your MAGI dollar for dollar, helping you stay below the 400% FPL cliff.

How does the self-employed health insurance deduction (IRC §162(l)) interact with ACA subsidies?

Under IRC §162(l), self-employed individuals can deduct qualifying health insurance premiums from gross income. However, the calculation is circular: the deduction lowers MAGI, which increases your Premium Tax Credit (PTC), which in turn reduces the net premium eligible for the deduction. IRS Publication 974 provides two alternative methods (the Iterative Method and the Simplified Calculation Method) to reconcile this interaction on Form 8962.

When is the best time of year to execute a Roth conversion when receiving ACA subsidies?

Late December (between December 15 and December 31). By waiting until late December, you will know your exact realized capital gains, mutual fund year-end dividend distributions, and total annual income. This allows you to calibrate your Roth conversion to the exact dollar to stay safely beneath the 400% FPL cliff.

Where to go from here

This tool prices one year's conversion. These cover the rest of the decision.